There are now signs are that Kennedy MP Bob Katter will not support Labor.
"This may be a blessing in disguise for Julia Gillard, as Bob is rather eccentric," David Farrar writes on Kiwiblog. "Katter wants the mining tax and any ETS dropped. This makes it very unlikely that he will support a Labor-Green Government."
It will all come down to Tony Windsor and Rob Oakeshott.
If they stick together they will decide the Government. If they disagree with each other, then the House is tied 75-75 and another election will be needed.
"What still tips it Labor’s way in my view is that they are more likely to last three years, as the Greens will control the Senate from July 2011," David Farrar says. "However the Independents will be concerned that their electorates may not like the policies of a Labor/Green Government, and if they go for that option they may risk losing their seats next election."
The Greens say that they will use their clout with Labor to push for same-sex marriage and liberalising the treatment of refugees.
1 comment:
I think Bob is on his last term in Parliament from what he has said. If not, it doesn't matter which way he goes, he will be re-elected.
Windsor also looks like he is on his last term in Parliament.
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