Sunday 12 August 2007

Saturday November 24th

According to today's Sunday Mail bets are on for a November 24th Federal Election. Therefore, it would have to be called by 22 October, in ten days time.

Parliament must be dissolved by 15 November 2007.

Past Election dates:-
2004 Election: October 9th
2001 Election: November 10th
1998 Election: October 3rd

All possible 2007 election dates are based on a 33-day campaign, are as follows:-

4 September 2007 Reserve Bank meets (decisions release following day)
8 September 2007 School holidays commence Tasmania.
8-9 September 2007 APEC hosted in Sydney
22 September 2007 School Holidays Commence in Vic and QLD
23 September 2007 School holidays end Tasmania
29 September 2007 AFL Grand Final Day, School hols commence in NSW, NT, SA, ACT, WA.
30 September 2007 NRL Grand Final Day
2 October 2007 RBA meets
7 October 2007 School holidays end, Vic, QLD, NT.
15 October 2007 School holidays end, NSW, SA, WA, ACT.

20 October 2007 Possible election day (called 17 September 2007)
27 October 2007 Possible election day (called 24 September 2007)
3 November 2007 Possible election day (called 1 October 2007)

6 November 2007 Melbourne Cup Day, RBA meets

10 November 2007 Possible election day (called 8 October 2007)
17 November 2007 Possible election day (called 15 October 2007)
24 November 2007 Possible election day (called 22 October 2007)
1 December 2007 Possible election date (called 29 October 2007)

4 December 2007 RBA meets

8 December 2007 Last realistic date for election (called 5 November 2007)

Conclusion:
Need to be ready for an election called anytime from 2 July 2007
Likely election dates remain in the 20 October 2007 – 24 November 2007 window. This would enable the Coalition to call the election after the APEC meeting in Sydney and before the Christmas period.

No comments: